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Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Sunday’s (13/1/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 5pm Saturday.

Outlay: $2800
Return: $2852

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Coffs Harbour

$60 Win Sylvia’s Memory R1 (Tote)
$20 Win Guest R3 @ $5.5 (Sportsbet)
$10 E/W Boncosta R7 @ $11/$3.4 (BetEasy)

Coffs Harbour Overview:

If she runs up to her trials, Sylvia’s Memory is a $1.20-$1.30 chance. She should be too good. I remember backing her all in for the Gimcrack off an impressive trial win at the official 2YO trials in Sydney. Didn’t run and was tipped out. Back now and her trial win here was very slick and the turn of foot was there to see. I’m taking the tote because I see in the gear changes that the dreaded bar plates are on in the front. Even that included, I think she’ll win. Guest is a former Victorian who had his first run for Jim Jarvis over 1200m at Tuncurry and worked home well I thought, losing a plate in the process. Think he’ll improve big time off that and up in trip is a big tick. Also noteworthy that the market said he’d need the run first up so hoping he does have the upside. 12 months ago Boncosta was talked up as a potential Country Championships horse, but he’s really gone off the boil. That said, he improved in form on Monday at Kempsey, working home nicely from the back against the track pattern for the day. The quick back up is a good lead for mine and he’s on his home track. Definitely worth an each way ticket at the odds.

 

Sale
$40 Win Pinyin R2 @ $4 (Sportsbet)
$5 Win/$25 Place Chaba Charli R4 @ $16/$4.4 (Sportsbet)
$30 Win Cape Richards R7 @ $4.2 (Neds)

Sale Overview:

Pinyin looks one of the better bets at Sale. Jim Conlan trains this filly, who has placed in both career outings, the latest at Sale when wide no cover on speed and got the wobbles on the turn but balanced up and was really good late behind Black Bliss. Draws much better this time around and is clearly looking for a bigger track IMHO, which she gets. Keen on her. Chaba Charli is a fascinating runner. He was well backed at Stony Creek on Wednesday but was a shot duck 600m from home and ran second last, beaten eight lengths. That followed a really encouraging resumption here. Like that the stable backs him up straight away to see if that was a one off effort or is there something not quite right. Cape Richards looks a talented type for Patrick Payne who was Chautauauqa-esque early on when resuming at Seymour, flopping out the back and looking disinterested. Eventually put his mind to it but just had too much to do. If he switches on more early this time around, he’ll take some beating.

 
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