Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Sunday’s (12/5/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 8am Sunday.
Betting Strategy Outlay: $32315
Betting Strategy Return: $35854
Futures Outlay: $2045
Futures Return: $1871
Gawler
$100 Multi (Tote)
Rapid Bay R4 Win
Social Media R8 Place
Gawler Overview: Pretty ordinary race day so just the two bets, starting off with the good thing of the day for mine in the shape of Rapid Bay. Only bad luck will beat him…that, and a poor start. A poor start has cost him in both career runs to date, the latest over 1350m at Strathalbyn when last in the run and really should have won but had no momentum to build while the winner had clear air throughout and full momentum, yet only won by 0.8L. Rapid Bay looks like he will eat up the 1500m on the bigger track and in a race lacking depth, he should be winning but no spoils re price. Multi him into Social Media to run top three in the last. At the time of writing, he was around $3.50 to place and hoping he stays that, perhaps gets to $4. Just went a fraction too hard in front last time out at this track/distance when attempting to lead all the way and just felt the pinch late. Wide gate is no issue I don’t think given she does have the speed to take care of that. Krystal Bishop rides the mare well, she strikes a very thin race and if she can indeed get over without spending too many petrol tickets, she’ll run top three. Hopefully around $5, perhaps better, for that multi.
Queanbeyan
$40 Win/$60 Place Breath Of Wind R7 @ $41/$8 (TAB)
Queanbeyan Overview: Usually I’m just happy to watch Queanbeyan but gee this girl looks silly odds in the last. Now first up it will say she got beat 10 lengths at Canberra and you’re likely to assume she was beaten comfortably and struggled. To an extent, yes she was. But bear in mind the winner did have a 6.5L margin to the second horse, so in the end, outside the winner, she was beaten three lengths. The winner of the race ran well last week again at Canberra, so the form reads okay, she’s on her home track, up in trip I like given she was good late first up and this will be the first time in her career she’s drawn a gate. Just very silly odds for mine in a thin race against some horses who have had a number of chances and are probably at their peak career wise whereas this girl has a stack of upside.
