Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Monday’s (25/3/2019) racing. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing, which was 5pm Sunday.
Betting Strategy Outlay: $19810
Betting Strategy Return: $18950
Futures Outlay: $995
Futures Return: $1113
Grafton
$20 Parlay 3,4 = $100 Cost
Contemptuous R2 Win
Duke Of Frederick R4 Place
Raay Of Time R5 Place
William R6 Place
Grafton Overview:
Contemptuous is on debut for Steve O’Dea and he rarely crosses the border and returns home without a win. Looked very sharp in a trial win earlier in the month and blinkers on for the debut tells me there’s intent. Looks the winner in a thin race. The Kris Lees runner comes out of a very suspect maiden at Coffs. Duke Of Frederick is a few weeks between runs but has a pretty good overall record, even though the winning strike rate is awful. Raay Of Time was very poor last time at Port Macquarie but is much better than that so blinkers coming off and a soft gate helps her cause. At her best, goes awfully close. William is a progressive maiden galloper for Matty Dunn who battled away okay in an on pace dominated maiden at the Doomben midweeks last time. Does no work from the draw and finds a weak maiden.
Goulburn
$30 Win Diva Peron R1 @ $7.5 (BetEasy)
$10 Win/$30 Place Think It Over R5 @ $12/$3.8 (Sportsbet)
$30 Win Diamond Pedrille R6 @ $3.8 (Sportsbet)
Goulburn Overview:
Gee I think this girl is overs in what looks a terrible maiden. First two runs for the prep came over 1400m and to be fair, she did sweet FA. Stepped straight up to 2100m, had market support and worked home strongly off a moderate tempo to run a narrow second to Brilliant Mind. The price gap between it and Dominica Rose looks silly IMO given Diva Peron has more upside. Gayson looks the leader but looks a one batter and this race could become a slog, which should suit Diva Peron based on last start. Happy to be on at $7.50. There appears to be really good value in Think It Over from the same stable. Comes here off just one 735m trial, but gee he looked good there, closing off out wide under no pressure and he charged to the line in winning the trial. The debut run was outstanding when back, wide with no cover, yet still found the line. 1300m first up tells me the work has been put in to run well fresh. Diamond Pedrille should take some beating in the sixth. Ran over the mile at Newcastle on Newmarket Day where she just got too far back from the gate and surged late to just miss. Would have won in another stride. Gate one here, if she can take advantage of that, should be winning.
