Resident tipster Adam gives his betting strategy for Monday’s (17/9/2018) racing around the country. Note that the prices quoted were available at the time of writing.
Sunday Results: $55 Loss
Last 10 Days: LWWLLWLLLW
Overall Results (Since June 7): $4795 Profit
Bet One- Each Way- Cessnock Race One Number 4 Rogue Runner:
No rider booked at the time of writing this, so a likely scratching, but I think if he does run, he’s overs. Hasn’t raced for three weeks since racing over 1000m at the Brook where he was near the speed throughout and didn’t get the clearest of paths in the straight behind Sweetest Eyes. Blinkers and Tongue Tie go on, and looked sharp in a recent trial.
Suggested Bet: $10 Win/$20 Place at $7/$2.3 (BetEasy)
Bet Two- Win- Cessnock Race Four Number 10 Holy Reign:
He should win but $1.75 is rock bottom. I’d take the tote and hopefully you’ll get better. He comes through a 1600m maiden at Newcastle where he attempted to lead all the way and gave a mini kick but died on the run when fourth to Wild Impact. Significant drop in depth…little query at the trip but on speed is the spot to be at Cessnock.
Suggested Bet: $50 Win (Tote)
Bet Three- Each Way- Cessnock Race Eight Number 6 Kamehameha:
Veteran for Brett Partelle who does tend to save his best for this track. I’m hoping Bullock gets him out hard from the gates, gets the front and rolls. Ran over 1000m at Muswellbrook last time where he was midfield wide with cover and chased hard all the way when fifth to Flash Stinger. Back at this track, fresh, I’m keen on him at the odds.
Suggested Bet: $15 Win/$25 Place at $10/$3.3 (Sportsbet)
Bet Four- Win- Corowa Race One Number 5 Buthayna:
Just has to run up to the trial and she’ll be winning. Looks a nice filly for the Hayes/Dabernig team who is debuting here in search of a likely easy kill. Mitch Beers mare trialled up well at Cranbourne but this girl was bolting on speed at Tatura and was eased down in the straight yet still won. Short but should win.
Suggested Bet: $60 Win at $1.75 (Sportsbet)
Bet Five- Win- Wangaratta Race Three Number 6 Persuader:
Another shortie but I think she’ll be too good. Mick Price trains this girl, who showed really good promise in the Autumn without winning. Been given a really good spell and has been tuned up with a couple of jump outs, the latest coming last week at Caulfield when too good. Looks wound up to my eye.
Suggested Bet: $50 Win at $2 (Bet365)
Total Spend: $230