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A strong card of racing has been assembled for Randwick this Saturday, with the feature race being the $175,000 Group ll Missile Stakes (1200m), a race which gives the tease that Spring is almost here. The weather is fine, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.

 

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Race One (12:25pm) : Tab.com.au Handicap (85) 1200m: Form Guide

Back Me: Going to take a chance with Define (Best Odds: $10.00). She had her first run for Gerald Ryan when resuming a couple of weeks back at Canterbury and she worked home okay late when sixth to Miniature, beaten just over two lengths. She should take good improvement from that run, and it’s interesting to note that Avdulla rides this mare and neither of the Bjorb Baker mares.
Big Danger: Wine Talesย (Best Odds: $4.00) is the class mare of the field that resumes after a solid Autumn prep, with her highlight being a close up second to Hi World in the Frank Packer Plate (2000m) here during the Carnival. She’s tuned up for this with a couple of quiet barrier trials, but on class alone, she should go very close to beating these.
Roughie: Judicial Rockย (Best Odds: $4.40) ran fourth in the July Sprint at Canterbury and was interesting to note that she was ridden quiet and allowed to finish off, and she did it stoutly when fourth to Brook Road. It’ll be interesting to see what Clipperton does with this mare given the Bjorn Baker runners do have great early speed, but either way, she is a definite winning chance.

 

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Race Two (1:05pm) : Sky Racing Handicap (79) 1200m: Form Guide

Back Me: Going with Turf Crusher (Best Odds: $8.50), who was ordinary first up up at Flemington but then was sent to Adelaide by trainer Mick Hibbs and gee he was terribly unlucky when second to Matagami. He got shuffled back near the inside and really had no chance to build up momentum, which is vital on this track. 1200m is his go, draws well, minimum weight and he should be cherry ripe fitness wise.
Big Danger: Himalaya Dreamย (Best Odds: $3.00) resumes here for Team Hawkes after a pretty good Autumn, which was highlighted by a win at Rosehill before failing badly in the Neville Sellwood behind Pornichet, who is one of the best gallopers in Australia. Recent trial win was sharp, and this is a thin race compared to what he’ll face later in the Spring, so you’d want to see him perform well here.
Roughie: Selectifyย (Best Odds: $7.50) resumed over 1000m here a couple of weeks back and was simply dreadful behind Darciwood, but I think he didn’t look 100% happy on the bog surface. His trials leading up to that were very sharp, so I am prepared to forgive and forget that run, and give him another chance here in a very winnable race.

 

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Race Three (1:40pm) : Lindbald Expeditions Handicap (80) 2000m: Form Guide

Back Me: Going with Slivovitzย (Best Odds: $11.00) here. He has had three runs back from a break for Kris Lees, with the first two at Canterbury, and I think he was quite good at each outing, starting off with a fourth to recent Rosehill winner Marenostro before running fifth behind Sensualism. He then ran fifth at Newcastle and just forget he went around there given he was carrying topweight and pulled hard in the run. In a pretty thin race here, he can sharply improve at odds.
Big Danger: Duccioย (Best Odds: $3.70) looked in need of the run when resuming, then ran a brave third to Allegria. He has some really good form lines behind him, and being third up now at 2000m, he should be ready to fire, and with Pumper back on, expect this horse to roll to the front and prove very hard to run down.
Roughie: Loopholeย (Best Odds: $5.00) is on the back up after racing last Saturday at Rosehill and finishing off hard from near last to run fifth to Campania, beaten less than a length. As I have said repeatedly, it’s always a good lead when Waller backs up his runners, and this race does look a touch weaker than the one he raced in last weekend.

 

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Race Four (2:15pm) : The Rosebud 1200m: Form Guide

Back Me: Class horse is Rageese (Best Odds: $2.90), so I’ll go with him here. He ran twice during the Autumn, both resulting in seconds, starting off behind Tarquin in the Pago Pago before going to the Sires and bumping into Pride Of Dubai. His trial a couple of weeks back at Rosehill was first class, and despite carrying topweight of 59kg, he is the clear horse to beat.
Big Danger: The firmer track should spark Vanbrughย (Best Odds: $6.50) back into form. He loomed to win first up at Rosehill but died on his run late and had to settle for second to Surfin’ Safari before going to Canterbury and was seemingly very disappointing when fourth to Let’s Make It Rain, but I think he didn’t look 100% comfortable on the heavy track. Firmer surface here should really suit, and he is now on a bigger track. Definite improver and a serious threat.
Roughie: Sebring Sunย (Best Odds: $3.50) resumed last week at Canterbury and got a long way back in the run before Bowman weaved his magic wand and the colt sprouted wings late to grab victory in the last few strides. He also has some great form lines from the Autumn, and now that he has returned to racing with a strong win, he could go right on with it.

 

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Race Five (2:50pm) : The Wallabies Cup (85) 1600m: Form Guide

Back Me: Darci Magicย (Best Odds: $7.00) steps back up to city grade after contesting the South Grafton Cup (1600m) last time out where probably cost himself victory by wanting to lay in throughout the straight and that allowed leader Kurtley to cling onto victory. Has to cop some weight here, but he is one tough bugger and tries his heart out every start.
Big Danger: Hollywood Bound (Best Odds: $5.00), I think, can be forgiven for his last start failure at Canterbury a fortnight back given he just got too far back from the wide gate and had to make a long, sustained run and felt the pinch late to run fourth to Foreign Prince. The horse that ran past him to run third, Keepit To Yourself, came out seven days later and won the Winter Challenge. Really good form for a race like this, and I like Nash going back on.
Roughie: Richard The Firstย (Best Odds: $5.00) is finding it hard to win, but he is racing quite well. He ran last start at Rosehill in a small field and stuck to the task well late when second to impressive winner Marenostro, beaten 1.3L. He strikes a very winnable race here, and the step up to 1600m should really suit this bloke. Definite chance to win.

 

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Race Six (3:30pm) : McGrath Estate Agents Missile Stakes 1200m: Form Guide

Back Me: Going with Messene (Best Odds: $3.40). He had three runs during the Spring last year and did very little as a whole, with the last run resulting in a ninth of ten in the Makybe Diva behind Dissident. Hasn’t raced in 11 months, but his recent trials leading up to his return to racing has been sharp. He ran a beauty in this race last year and this edition looks significantly weaker.
Big Danger: Temple Of Boomย (Best Odds: $4.20) has specifically been targeted for the Sydney Spring here. He has been trained in Sydney and has had a couple of trials to prepare for his return to racing, and I loved his recent trial win here, where he led all the way and bolted up to win with ease. Normally needs the run fresh, but his trials have been sharp and is classy.
Roughie: Liberty’s Choiceย (Best Odds: $7.50) resumed in the Winter Stakes (1400m) where he sat on speed and stuck to the task very gamely when fourth to Rugged Cross. He should take good improvement from that given he did appear to have a belly on him in the yard. He has a very good second up record and back to 1200m will be no issue.

 

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Race Seven (4:10pm) : TAB Place Multi Handicap (85) 1000m: Form Guide

Back Me: Hard to go past Darciwood (Best Odds: $2.20). He trialled really well on his home track at Rosehill prior to resuming here where he was given an absolute peach ride from Tommy Berry. He eased back from the wide gate before peeling wide at the top of the straight and letting down powerfully to record a dominant win. This looks no harder, fitter and he loves Randwick.
Big Danger: Boss Laneย (Best Odds: $6.50) started long odds when resuming at Canterbury, which was surprising given he trialled well prior, and thanks to a lovely ride from Sam Clipperton, the Ron Quinton trained galloper proved too good. He does save his best for Randwick, looks as though he will get a good run near the speed and should prove hard to beat.
Roughie: The firmer surface should see improvement from talented galloper Straturbo (Best Odds: $10.00), who has been dreadful at his past two starts, but they have both been on heavy tracks. His first up run when wide no cover and sticking on for fourth behind Brook Road was a beauty, and he can certainly improve here at attractive odds.

 

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Race Eight (4:50pm) : TAB Rewards Handicap (75) 1800m: Form Guide

Back Me: Just As Cosmicย (Best Odds: $12.00) has been bursting to win a race, and I think she gets her chance here. She didn’t look comfortable at all two back on a bog surface at Warwick Farm, then went to Canterbury last week and worked home very strongly late in restricted room when third to handy galloper Nazca. Doesn’t look badly in at the weights, and I think the rise in trip and more spacious track should really suit this mare.
Big Danger: Pico Turquinoย (Best Odds: $17.00) steps up to city grade for the first time on Aussie soil after a strong win last time out over the mile at Newcastle where she sat back in the run before peeling out and letting down powerfully over the concluding stages. Up to 1800m can only be seen as beneficial for this mare, and she has good upside compared to most of these.
Roughie: Amazonย (Best Odds: $7.00) is the interesting runner here. She last ran on July 18 at Rosehill over 1350m when fifth to in form mare Berry Delicious. That was three weeks ago and she now steps up to 1800m from 1350m, so that’s the query, but she is the class mare engaged here, trained on the track and I like the confidence of Les Bridge to go with the senior rider in Tim Clark and no claim.

 

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BEST BET: Race Seven Number 4 Darciwood

NEXT BEST: Race Four Number 1 Rageese

VALUE: Race Three Number 6 Slivovitz

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: Field

Leg Two: 2, 3, 4, 9

Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 6

Leg Four: 1, 2, 4, 5, 10

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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