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A star studded line up is assembled for Randwick this Saturday, highlighted by a crack bunch of three year olds in the $600,000 Group l Randwick Guineas (1600m). The weather is fine, the track is good (4) and the rail is out three metres for the entire circuit.

Form Guides

 

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Race One (12:20pm) : Guinness Reisling Stakes 1200m: Form Guide

Back Me: Really keen on English (Best Odds: $3.00) here. I think she is a definite Slipper contender and she gets her chance to prove it here. She put up an amazing to win on debut at Kembla, missing the start badly, settling back, getting inside runs then bursting into the clear and winning with ridiculous ease. She has since trialled, and went like an absolute bomb there, winning by over five and running slick time. She’s the real deal, and I am surprised $51 is on offer for her in regards to the Slipper. She should be a $10-$11 chance.
Big Danger: Ottoman (Best Odds: $5.00) is the serious threat. This Godolphin filly has raced twice for a big win at Rosehill last year before spelling and resuming in the Silver Slipper where she didn’t really seem to appreciate the shifty track and slow tempo. She is much better than that and McDonald sticks.
Roughie: Mine Two (Best Odds: $41.00) had three runs during the Spring, resulting in a fifth, a second to Furnaces and a win over Italy. Spelled after that win and has been brought up to speed with two trials. First one at Hawkesbury was good, but the trial win at Randwick was most impressive, and she looks ready to go first up here.

 

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Race Two (1:00pm) : UNSW Todman Stakes 1200m: Form Guide

Back Me: Could very much challenge the Randwick Guineas as the best race of the afternoon. I’ve been loyal to Vancouver (Best Odds: $3.50), and I see no reason to jump off him. I was very impressed by the win of his in the Canonbury (1100m) at Rosehill a few weeks back, sprinting brilliantly from last in a slowly run race to overhaul his rivals and jump straight to near the top in Golden Slipper betting. He has since trialled here, and won like the star he is, winning by a space under no real pressure. One think in his favour ahead of Headwater is the fact he doesn’t mind getting down and dirty to win a race. Headwater is yet to taste real race pressure.
Big Danger: Headwater (Best Odds: $1.75) looks the obvious threat. He was outstanding in winning the Silver Slipper (1100m), even though he was gifted the lead on a platter and turned it into a barrier trial. Not convinced he beat much there, but the manner in which he did it was most impressive. He is the current Slipper favourite, and he will need to produce his absolute best to maintain that title.
Roughie: Expecting a big run from Furnaces (Best Odds: $5.00). He needed the run first up in the Lonhro Plate (1100m) here behind stablemate Haptic. He has since been to the trials last Friday at Warwick Farm and he looked very sharp there, beating home Paceman, who’d be lucky to win a Taree maiden based on his trial effort. But Furnaces looks back on track for the Slipper and should take some beating here.

 

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Race Three (1:35pm) : Weona Girl Quality Handicap 1200m: Form Guide

Back Me: Good race for the mares. Have to forgive My Sabeel  (Best Odds: $8.50) for her failure last week in the Guy Walter Stakes (1400m) given she was ridden upside down and I don’t think Warwick Farm is her track. Go back to her first up run and she ran a beauty when third to Thump. She loves racing here, drawn to be immediately eased back and saved for one run, and under the weights scale, she gets in really well for a mare that has placed behind Arabian Gold and Catkins.
Big Danger: Fine Bubbles (Best Odds: $18.00) is a quality mare for Kris Lees who resumes after a pretty strong Spring, which saw her win the Tibbie Stakes (1400m) on her home track at Newcastle. She has been given two trials to prepare for this, and it’s interesting to note that McDonald rides this mare and not sticking with Just A Girl. That could well be a lead.
Roughie: Just A Girl (Best Odds: $9.00), even without McDonald, looks a serious contender. She is seeming to love breathing in the country air, winning her two starts under the care of Luke Griffith, including a dominant win at Rosehill last time out. Zac Purton takes the ride, and he has been riding in super form in Honkers.

 

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Race Four (2:10pm) : Girvan Waugh Randwick City Stakes 2000m: Form Guide

Back Me: Pajaro (Best Odds: $5.50) was outstanding first up here behind Coolring, then went around at Rosehill as an odds on pop and let punters down badly with an ordinary fourth to Adorabeel, but perhaps he was ridden too aggressively from the gate and off an excellent resumption, he perhaps raced flat. He has been given a few weeks to get over that, and did look good in trackwork on Tuesday, indicating a win isn’t far away.
Big Danger: Self Sense (Best Odds: $9.00) has had two runs back from a good break, and appears to have come back in great order, especially based on the way he savaged the line to win the Kilmore Cup last time out, sprouting wings from the back. He ran well in Sydney last prep when third to Surpass, who has gone on to perform well at Group l level in New Zealand. Third up at 2000m looks perfect and David Briedoake is a smart horseman who places his horses perfectly.
Roughie: This time last year, Our Voodoo Prince (Best Odds: $16.00) was regarded as a serious Caulfield Cup contender, but he just didn’t go on with it in the Spring. He has had two runs this time in, and has been okay. He looked in need of the run first up behind Burbero, then went to the Parramatta Cup and worked home well despite laying in when seventh to Greatwood, beaten four lengths. This race isn’t overly strong, so if he is ever going to bounce back to form, this is it.

 

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Race Five (2:50pm) : Aspiration Quality 1600m: Form Guide

Back Me: Pretty keen here on Telepathic (Best Odds: $3.50), who was backed as if unbeatable first up here, and aided by a lovely steer from Jason Collett, the Group l performed mare got the job done to win. Collett sticks, she’s drawn well, won two from three second up, and as I said, for a Group l performer, she gets on the limit…it’ll take a good one to beat her here.
Big Danger: Mardi (Best Odds: $7.00) ran very well last time out in the Millie Fox when fourth to Catkins. She was outclassed on that occasion, but she stuck on pretty well despite being beaten early on in the straight. Maps pretty well, back on her home track and is rock hard fit.
Roughie: Intimate Moment (Best Odds: $21.00) wasn’t too bad first up at Rosehill behind San Diego. She loomed to be some sort of threat halfway down the straight, but her condition just gave out and she battled on for seventh, beaten just under three lengths. She has a tidy second up record and again looks well in on the limit.

 

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Race Six (3:30pm) : Girvan Waugh Randwick Guineas 1600m: Form Guide

Back Me: It was hard not to be impressed by the first up performance of Sweynesse (Best Odds: $3.50) in the Hobartville Stakes (1400m), settling off the speed and making up good ground late, looking the winner, only to be pipped right on the peg by Hallowed Crown. There is so much upside left with this horse, the stable is absolutely flying and the horse was most impressive when winning second up last time in.
Big Danger: Shooting To Win (Best Odds: $2.70) was confidently backed to win the Hobartville and could not have been ridden better by Shinn, getting the dream sit on the back of the speed, peeling at the right time and looking the winner 300m out, but his fitness just gave way late and eventually ran a close up fourth. He should come on big time from that run and looks the obvious threat.
Roughie: One horse that did catch the eye in the Hobartville was Sworn To Silence (Best Odds: $16.00), who made up good ground near the inside, which wasn’t the place to be that afternoon. He will be better over further, but the way he ran in the Hobartville suggests he could finish fourth here with normal luck.

 

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Race Seven (4:10pm) : Canterbury Stakes 1300m: Form Guide

Back Me: Putting Leebaz (Best Odds: $13.00) on top. He had a very light Spring with only two runs. He should have bolted in first up on Caulfield Cup Day in the Moonga Stakes (1400m), then went to the Emirates Stakes (1600m) and fought on hard for fourth to Hucklebuck. His trial last Friday at Warwick Farm behind Terravista was sharp enough and he has an excellent fresh record. Really keen on his chances here.
Big Danger: With the fitness edge and possible give in the ground, Catkins (Best Odds: $3.00) has to go in as a serious chance. I am convinced she is not the same horse she was 12 months ago, but she is still winning, which speaks volumes of how courageous she truly is. She shouldn’t be too far away, and considering the field she is up against here, if she is ever going to win a Group l, this is it.
Roughie: Hooked (Best Odds: $13.00) returns to racing after an excellent Spring, which saw him run a brave third in the Epsom Handicap (1600m) before winning the Crystal Mile (1600m) and then running a strong fifth to Hucklebuck in the Emirates. Two trials leading up to this have been sharp, and his work on Tuesday morning, from all reports, would have made stablemate First Seal proud.

 

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Race Eight (4:50pm) : Hyland Colours Challenge Stakes 1000m: Form Guide

Back Me: Cracking race. I am sticking with the class and that clearly lies with Famous Seamus (Best Odds: $10.00). He was outstanding in the Spring, winning the Premiere Stakes (1200m) before he arguably should have won the Manikato Stakes (1200m) behind Lankan Rupee before a game sixth to Terravista in the Darley Classic (1200m). Recent trial at Hawkesbury was good, he runs very well fresh and draws outside four speed demons, so he should get the lovely drop.
Big Danger: Knoydart (Best Odds: $6.50) is the big query. He is a legitimate Group l performer who hasn’t raced since a luckless run in the Stradbroke Handicap (1400m) where he got stuck four wide no cover. He has been given plenty of time, and has looked quite sharp in a couple of barrier trials. Great first up record and will be aided by a hot tempo.
Roughie: The hot speed should also suit Villa Verde (Best Odds: $8.50), who trialled really well nicely recently behind Hooked, who goes around in the Canterbury Stakes (1300m) as a serious contender. Villa Verde didn’t come up during the Spring, but the trial was encouraging, and she did win this race last year, beating home Snitzerland, Famous Seamus and Buffering to name a few.

 

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Race Nine (5:30pm) : Xirrus Fireball Stakes 1100m: Form Guide

Back Me: Putting Kuro (Best Odds: $2.40) on top. He really came of age during the Winter/Spring, winning four on the bounce before running a gallant third to Brazen Beau in the Coolmore Stud Stakes (1200m) on Derby Day. His two trials leading up to his return to racing have been pretty good, and he does appear forward enough to win first up.
Big Danger: Peeping (Best Odds: $5.50) deserves her chance at Stakes level after a spank job of her rivals first up over this track/distance against the older mares, sitting just off the speed and pouncing late, running slick final splits. She has to rise significantly in grade, but there is just so much upside with her.
Roughie: Onemorezeta (Best Odds: $8.00) was well supported first up in the Light Fingers Stakes (1200m) and perhaps just found the class a bit rich when fifth to Adrift and First Seal, who franked the form last Saturday at Warwick Farm. The trial win prior to that was excellent and she bolted in second up last time in.

 

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BEST BET: Race One Number 9 English

NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 6 Telepathic

VALUE: Race Seven Number 6 Leebaz

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Six Through To Nine):

Leg One: 1, 3, 5

Leg Two: 5, 6, 8, 9

Leg Three: 1, 3, 6, 8, 10

Leg Four: 1, 4, 6, 7, 13

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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