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A bumper card has been assembled for Morphettville this Saturday, where the feature race is the $100,000 Listed Lightning Stakes (1050m). The weather is overcast, the track is soft (5) and the rail is out nine metres from the 1200m-Winning Post; Out six metres for the remainder.

 

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Race One (12:12pm) : William Hill Hurdle 3100m: Form Guide

Back Me: Angelology (Best Odds: $1.90) for me here. He was given a beaut ride by Pateman to win last Sunday at Casterton, sitting on the back of tequila at midnite most of the way before peeling out and showing the better turn of foot to win. This looks a touch easier and is well weighted. Hard to beat.
Big Danger: Baklava Boy (Best Odds: $5.50) tried very hard last time out at Gawler and really stretched a classy jumper in No Song No Supper all the way. I don’t think he can beat Angelology, but he should still run well for sure.
Roughie: The firmer track should suit Bold Zamour (Best Odds: $17.00), who really struggled on that heavy track behind No Song No Supper after appearing to travel well early on. He can spring out a good run in these jumps races, and taking out Angelology, this race is pretty thin.

 

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Race Two (12:47pm) : Schweppes Handicap 2035m: Form Guide

Back Me: Try Four (Best Odds: $1.75) is a former Queenslander who has had two runs for Darren Weir, both coming at the bool. He stormed home to just miss out on picking up Collins Street, then went one better last start, finishing off very strongly from the back. Third up here at 2000m looks perfect and the stable has had a really good run recently when sending horses to Adelaide.
Big Danger: Back up in trip should suit a former Darren Weir runner, Island Bar (Best Odds: $35.00). He ran well over 2100m two back at Swan Hill before running over a mile at Gawler and working to the line well late in the piece. Back up to 2000m will suit, and he doesn’t mind give in the ground.
Roughie: Mickiem (Best Odds: $7.50) ran third to Try Four at the Bool, and the former Mount Gambier Cup winner ran on quite well late in the piece. He has a stack of upside left in him, and while I don’t think he can turn the tables on Try Four, he should still run well again.

 

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Race Three (1:22pm) : Irish Raceday 29th August Handicap (68) 1100m: Form Guide

Back Me: Really keen here on Miss Gunpowder (Best Odds: $2.50). The daughter of Pendragon has had one career start, back in mid March when streeting her rivals and winning with a fair bit of ease. Spelled, and her recent trial win was very sharp, beating home stablemate One For One, who goes around as a leading contender at Caulfield. Should win.
Big Danger: Alluder (Best Odds: $10.00) is on debut here for Mark Kavanagh. The son of Street Cry hasn’t caught my eye at the Flemington jump outs, but I like the fact he is travelling for his debut effort. Draws well and Holder rides.
Roughie: Karlovasi (Best Odds: $8.50) resumed over 1000m on the parks circuit and worked to the line well I thought when running third to Counter Pulse, beaten just over three lengths. That horse will go into the feature today as a serious winning chance, so that form should read well.

 

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Race Four (1:58pm) : Mittys Handicap 1600m: Form Guide

Back Me: Going with Northern Review (Best Odds: $9.00) here. She tried hard two back at Murray Bridge when second to Zip Delicious before going to Balaklava and attacking the line with real purpose over 1420m and scoring quite a dominant win. Up to the mile should suit, and Paull Gatt has gone with this filly ahead of Rocket Commander and Gordian.
Big Danger: Conwell (Best Odds: $6.00) steps immediately up to city grade after scoring a big maiden win last time out at Echuca, storming home from the back to win in the last couple of strides. As stated earlier, Darren Weir has a great record when bringing horses here, and this filly has a stack of upside left in her. Looks one of the hardest to beat.
Roughie: Rocket Commander (Best Odds: $6.00) is a very consistent type who is never far away from the action. He ran last time out at Gawler (Metro) and tried his guts out when running second to Think Of Nothing, beaten just over a length. He now gets down in the weights after the claim for Siggy Carr, draws well and handles all conditions.

 

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Race Five (2:38pm) : Betty Wright Handicap (72) 1100m: Form Guide

Back Me: In what looks a tough race, I’ll go with Trueno (Best Odds: $5.50). He scored a dominant first up win over 1050m here before going to Gawler (Metro) and trying very hard when running third to Get Pronto, beaten 1.8L. He has a very good record at the track, Pannell is back on, draws well and he did run very well third up last time in.
Big Danger: Who You Know (Best Odds: $8.50) resumes here for Paul Beshara after a three month break. He was last seen running over 1200m here and storming home to grab a big win. Hasn’t trialled publicly for this, but he does run well fresh, has class, and will be charging to the line late if the speed is on, which it should be.
Roughie: The value runner at odds is Stravinsky Code (Best Odds: $23.00). He looked in need of the run first up behind Trueno before going to the Gawler race mentioned above with Trueno and he just battled really when eighth to Get Pronto. He does tend to save his best for this track, and being third up, he should be ready to show something positive. Senior rider back on now also, so I am tipping improvement.

 

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Race Six (3:18pm) : James Boag’s Handicap (90) 1600m: Form Guide

Back Me: Stylish Miss (Best Odds: $5.00) is a Darren Weir trained mare who ran last time out at Ballarat (Metro) and stuck to the task pretty gamely when running third to To Be Honest after sitting on speed. She is a versatile mare who handles all conditions, and she does look beautifully placed here, especially at the weights after the claim for Harry Coffey.
Big Danger: Tenere (Best Odds: $8.00) was the real surprise packet last Saturday on the Parks circuit when working home very strongly from the back to run third to Back On Target. This bloke generally needs a couple of runs to find his best, but he ran so well first up, and Phillip Stokes isn’t normally a trainer to back up his runners seven days later, so I think that’s a good lead.
Roughie: Daydream Charlie (Best Odds: $26.00) was massive odds last time out at Gawler (Metro) yet he powered through the line strongly to get the job done impressively, beating home Saturday Affair who is a more than capable type. Harder here, but draws well and gets a low weight after the claim.

 

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Race Seven (3:58pm) : Lightning Stakes 1050m: Form Guide

Back Me: I think the two year olds hold the key here. I am going with the local youngster Counter Pulse (Best Odds: $7.50). He has won his past two starts in very impressive fashion, starting off with a win over 1200m here in a strong form race before going to the 1000m on the Parks circuit, and despite lumping 58.5kg, he proved too good for his rivals. It’s been a while since he has carried 54.5kg, plus he is rock hard fit and will be very strong at the end of 1050m.
Big Danger: Stoker (Best Odds: $5.00) is probably the class runner here. He hasn’t raced since finishing a brave seventh to Pride Of Dubai in the Blue Diamond after sitting four wide throughout. He hasn’t trialled for this, but the class and talent is there, he gets the weight pull and his lone first up run came on debut when second to boom colt Headwater. Drawn wide but should be hard to beat.
Roughie: Down The Hatch (Best Odds: $19.00) was a touch disappointing I thought on face value last time out at the Valley, but I think she can be forgiven for that failure given she was carrying 59.5kg on a heavy track which played towards leaders and horses near the inside, and she is a backmarker who got wide. This does look a suitable target for her, and if she finds her best form, she can definitely win this.

 

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Race Eight (4:33pm) : Drink Driving? GROW UP Handicap 1200m: Form Guide

Back Me: About Sqaure (Best Odds: $6.00) for me here. He has raced twice this time in, starting off with a good fifth behind Hard Romp before running in the Victorian Spring Final and not getting much luck when ninth to Play Master. He did look sharp in jump outs prior to last start, and this looks his level. Tourneur from a good gate and should be cherry ripe fitness wise. Extremely hard to beat.
Big Danger: Daytona Grey (Best Odds: $3.30) is an absolute swimmer who proved that last time out at Gawler (Metro) when spanking his rivals and winning with ridiculous ease. The track probably won’t be as wet here, but given this is the last race, the track will be chopped up and very shifty, and those conditions really suit this horse.
Roughie: Karacatis (Best Odds: $4.40) hasn’t raced in five weeks since running a game second to Heart Of A Lion. He has been accepted to run on a couple of occasions but has been scratched due to wet tracks, so his fitness levels are a query, but the class is there, and despite a likely wet track, he should prove tough to hold out late with the right run and a good speed in front.

 

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BEST BET: Race Eight Number 5 About Square

NEXT BEST: Race Six Number 11 Kwanza

VALUE: Race Seven Number 10 Counter Pulse

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 1, 3, 4, 7, 10

Leg Two: 2, 8, 9, 10

Leg Three: 1, 2, 3, 4, 9, 10, 11, 12

Leg Four: 1, 3, 4, 5

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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