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A strong card of racing has been assembled for Canterbury this Saturday, its first Saturday program since December 27 last year. The weather is fine, the track is heavy (9) and the rail is in the true position for the entire circuit.

 

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Race One (12:15pm) : McGrath Estate Agents Handicap 1250m: Form Guide

Back Me: Keen here on Vanbrugh (Best Odds: $2.10). I was keen on him when he resumed at Rosehill, and he loomed as the winner with about 200m to go, but given he was first up, he just died on the run late and had to settle for second to Surfin’ Safari. Should be fitter now, draws well and Shinn sticks. Looks the one to beat in a good little race for the babies.
Big Danger: Inner Circle (Best Odds: $3.00) was due to resume last weekend at Rosehill but was scratched and instead will resume here. He showed good promise during the Autumn, including a fourth in the Pago Pago to Tarquin. Recent trial behind King’s Troop was good, and that horse ran well last weekend at Rosehill. McDonald has gone with him, so I think that’s the good lead in terms of the Godolphin runners. Definite threat.
Roughie: Tatoosh (Best Odds: $4.20) is on the quick back up after racing last Saturday at Rosehill in that King’s Troop race mentioned above that was won by Japonisme. Tatoosh just got a touch further back than what Hugh Bowman probably would have liked, but his last furlong was pretty good I thought. I think now that he has ridden the horse, that should be a positive heading into this, and he is an outside winning chance.

 

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Race Two (12:50pm) : TAB Place Multi Handicap 1550m: Form Guide

Back Me: Nash Rawiller is back in Sydney and I am confident he will return a winner here thanks to the Chris Waller trained Aurora Glow (Best Odds: $4.40), who scored a great win here last time out over 1200m, coming from near last on the turn and scouting very wide. The horses inside were shortening stride, so perhaps he was flattered a touch, but despite that, he was still impressive. Up to 1550m will be ideal, draws well and is a winner on the track.
Big Danger: Balboa Park (Best Odds: $3.00) is a Gai Waterhouse trained youngster who put up a remarkable effort to win on debut at Newcastle. He got a fair way back in the run and was out wide, but once balanced up in the straight, he let down powerfully over the final furlong and won very impressively despite being a touch green in the straight. He comes straight to town now, but there is plenty to like about this son of Thorn Park.
Roughie: The Bohemian (Best Odds: $41.00) ran last Friday at Scone in a maiden and worked home strongly from near last to run third, beaten not that far. Big leap in class here, but the stable doesn’t mind throwing them in the deep end, and this is the time of year where you could get away with it. He will get back, but he is only carrying 53kg and he will be strong late.

 

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Race Three (1:25pm) : More Than Ready @ Vinery Handicap (93) 1900m: Form Guide

Back Me: Race depleted by scratchings. Going with Beyond Thankful (Best Odds: $3.00) to help Hugh Bowman secure another premiership. He scored a surprise first up win at Randwick, then was poor at his next two outings, but he bounced back to form last time out with a strong second to Sir Mako. I think the tight turning track will suit him here, and he should get the easy drag over thanks to Tradtri.
Big Danger: Sir Mako (Best Odds: $2.30) proved too good for Beyond Thankful last start, sprouting wings late out wide late to claim his second from three runs down under, so obviously the talent is there. Meets that horse at the same weights for beating him last start, so he has to rate as a serious winning chance.
Roughie: Tradtri (Best Odds: $13.00) and Kathy O’Hara used Vo Rogue-esque tactics last time out over this track/distance, and the former kiwi just kept on fighting, like the Queensland champ, to win narrowly. Harder here, but the race field has decreased thanks to scratchings, and if similar tactics are used here, he will give them something to think about for sure.

 

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Race Four (2:00pm) : July Sprint 1100m: Form Guide

Back Me: I’m sticking with the class runner here, Burbero (Best Odds: $12.00). He has been given a good spell after a fabulous Summer/Autumn, with the highlight being the win in the Group ll Ajax Stakes (1500m). His lone trial to prepare for this at Kembla Grange and he looked pretty good there. Normally takes a run or two to find his best, but he looks well weighted here and is unbeaten in three runs at the track.
Big Danger: Brook Road (Best Odds: $2.70) was given a brilliant ride by Blake Shinn to get the job done first up, then she appeared to race quite flat second up when running seventh to Shiraz, who came out and spanked his rivals again last weekend to frank the form. Now that the flat run has come and gone, Brook Road should be ready now to bounce back and is on the minimum.
Roughie: The old boy Zaratone (Best Odds: $3.00) is never far away from the action, but he just can’t quite crack it for a win. He was given a lovely front running ride last time out, but was no match for Shiraz and had to settle for second to that horse, who franked the form by bolting in last weekend. The tight turns and short straight should suit this bloke, and he’ll certainly give them something to chase.

 

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Race Five (2:40pm) : Bledisloe Cup Festival Handicap (75) 1250m: Form Guide

Back Me: Putting Global Domination (Best Odds: $7.50) on top. This well bred son of More Than Ready hasn’t raced since February when racing over 1550m here under the lights when third to Citations. His two trials leading up to this have been excellent, and don’t worry about him having his first start on wet ground, because he has trialled well on wet tracks in the past.
Big Danger: Way We Go (Best Odds: $3.80) debuted at Warwick Farm in a small field, and he just lapped up the heavy surface, bolting home when the button was pushed by Claire Nutman. He beat home Tribe that day, and Tribe franked the form by winning next start. He then went to Randwick and was very heavily backed in betting, and that support was justified when he proved too good for his rivals. There has been good interest from Hong Kong for this horse, and the judges over there are pretty good, so that, as well as his two impressive wins, sees him as a threat here.
Roughie: Testashadow (Best Odds: $11.00) resumes from a Summer/Autumn prep, which ended with a solid fifth in the Pharlap behind star filly Winx. Recent trial at Warwick Farm was very encouraging and he did run an absolute beauty first up last time in. Despite taking on older horses, he has a touch of class and with some luck, he’ll be around the money somewhere.

 

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Race Six (3:20pm) : TAB Rewards Handicap (85) 1250m: Form Guide

Back Me: The horse that is ready to fire now is the Bjorn Baker trained Coolring (Best Odds: $3.80). He is third up now after two runs back from a spell, and while on face value the form doesn’t read great, he hasn’t been too bad. I can forgive him for Randwick given he was carrying 60kg on a bottomless Randwick surface and copped pressure on speed. Draws gate one, Bowman sticks, little bit of weight relief and he loves Canterbury.
Big Danger: Forget (Best Odds: $3.80) is on the seven day back up after racing last Saturday at Rosehill, and despite carrying topweight, he proved far too good for his rivals, swooping home from midfield out wide. He runs very well at this track, and he now gets a little bit of weight relief from last Saturday. The negative is that he has failed before on the seven day back up, but that was at the end of a long prep last time in.
Roughie: The Chris Waller trained mare Kristy Lee (Best Odds: $4.40) loomed to win last time out at Randwick, but she just died on her run late and held on for third to Idance. She loves racing at Canterbury, so coming here should really suit her, and I think the slight drop back to 1250m enhances her chances more I think. Looms as one of the hardest to beat.

 

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Race Seven (4:00pm) : Jimmy Wood Memorial Handicap (84) 1100m: Form Guide

Back Me: Really keen here on Miss Tenpins (Best Odds: $6.00). I loved her two trials leading up to her return to racing, and I made her the best bet of the day when she resumed here a few weeks back. I thought my money was gone when she was sitting three wide on speed no cover, but the mare was just way too good for her rivals. She has been give time to get over that hard first up run, and now Avdulla, who rode her in the two trials, takes the reins. She’ll either lead or trail stablemare Hard To Hold. Either way, I think she wins.
Big Danger: Hard To Hold (Best Odds: $6.00) was okay when resuming behind Momma’s Snitzel before being sent to the front last start by Christian Reith and the mare proved too good for her rivals to win narrowly but impressively. Bowman is on now, and she does draw to either lead or trail Miss Tenpins, so she looks the logical threat.
Roughie: Miniature (Best Odds: $6.00) is a Godolphin mare that hadn’t set the world on fire in two runs back from a spell, but there was merit in her effort last time out behind Hard To Hold, running third, beaten not that far. McDonald jumps back on, draws well and has class on her side.

 

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Race Eight (4:40pm) : Tab.com.au Handicap (84) 1550m: Form Guide

Back Me: I think the top four in the field will fight this out. Leaning towards Great Esteem (Best Odds: $9.00) to get the job done. He was a touch unlucky last time out at Rosehill when second to Hollywood Bound given he got held up for a few strides in the straight and this horse can’t stop and start momentum to victory, whereas the winner, Hollywood Bound, had all the momentum out wide. He meets Hollywood Bound 2kg better at the weights, draws well and Bowman sticks.
Big Danger: Hollywood Bound (Best Odds: $9.00) was given an absolute peach by Blake Shinn in the race mentioned above where Great Esteem ran second in. He settled out the back in the run before peeling wide and getting a clear run, which is something this horse needs, and he just brained his rivals. He should get every chance from the good gate and Shinn does stick with him.
Roughie: Off The Rails (Best Odds: $9.00) ran fifth in that race Hollywood Bound, and I thought he was quite good there considering he was leading, and leading isn’t his caper, but he stuck to the task pretty gamely I felt. Third up now at 1550m should really suit and he did score a strong win third up last time in. If ridden with cover, he can threaten.

 

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BEST BET: Race Seven Number 3 Miss Tenpins

NEXT BEST: Race Two Number 2 Aurora Glow

VALUE: Race Eight Number 3 Great Esteem

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Five Through To Eight):

Leg One: 1, 2, 3, 4

Leg Two: 1, 2, 4, 5, 6, 7

Leg Three: 1, 3, 4, 7

Leg Four: 1, 3, 6, 11

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All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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