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The feature races might be over at Perth, but that won’t matter to Ballarat as they host their stand alone Saturday meeting this weekend, highlighted by the $200,000 Listed Sportsbet.com.au Ballarat Cup (2200m). The race was won brilliantly by The Offer, and he of course went on to Group l glory.

The good racing doesn’t end there. The Magic Millions is not far away, and Victoria will have their two biggest Magic Millions races run, the $200,000 Magic Millions Clockwise Classic (1000m) for the two year olds and the $100,000 Magic Millions Classic (1100m) for the three year olds.

 

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Race One (12:25) : People @ Work Handicap (70) 2300m: Form Guide

Back Me: Murphy’s Delight (Best Odds: $3.80) only knows one speed, but he will maintain that, as he has shown in recent times, including last start at Randwick when third to the in form Majestic Beast. He carries a rating of 70 yet after the claim for Regan Bayliss, he comes down to 57kg and meets horses at that weight with a rating of anywhere between 64 and 67. Looks beautifully suited and should take some beating. Confident he can kick the day off on the right note for us.
Big Danger: Cadel Triomphe (Best Odds: $7.00) tried very hard when second to Bazzabeel on Bendigo Cup Day over 2400m. The winner just simply had a better turn of foot, but this horse was very strong through the line, so he will be finishing off here better than most, he is rock hard fit, and the long Ballarat straight looks ideal.
Roughie: The old boy Mr Jazz (Best Odds: $26.00) was very good I thought when resuming over 2000m on Stakes Day, running tenth to Held Hostage, beaten seven lengths, despite covering ground. That was his first run since April, so for him to beat nearly half the field home, and tying in his horrible first up record, there was merit. Fitter, up in distance and does have the fresh legs.

 

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Race Two (13:00) : Easy Waste Plate 1200m: Form Guide

Back Me: The set weights and penalties scale really suits the mares up near the top, so that’s where I am looking with my three tips, and they each ran in the G.H. Mumm Stakes (1100m) on Oaks Day. Best run out of the three was Counted (Best Odds: $10.00), who was having her first run since April. She was out wide and worked home strongly late behind Vain Queen and was the one hitting the line with purpose. She has to give weight to the other two mares mentioned down below, but she has so much upside and despite the horrible second up record, I am confident she can go close here.
Big Danger: The run of Kristy Lee (Best Odds: $5.00) wasn’t too bad under the circumstances. She was closest to the rail, and in those straight races where they are in a clump down the middle of the track, it’s hard for horses near the inside to win, so she was commendable. Back to a turning track and a bigger track will see her prove hard to beat.
Roughie: Vain Attraction (Best Odds: $6.00) was the unlucky one out of the race. She looked as if she was going to be a place given the way she looked to travel in the run, but she never got clear at any serious stage of the race and went to the line as if she was at the barrier trials. She is a winner at the track and is very effective at 1200m, so she goes in as a chance.

 

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Race Three (13:35) : Eureka Concrete Handicap (84) 1400m: Form Guide

Back Me: Going to put Tax Evader (Best Odds: $11.00) on top. He resumes here for Peter Moody after a pretty solid Autumn/Winter prep which ended with a tiring tenth to Wrotham Heath over 1800m at Flemington. Best form is over a mile, but he did look quite impressive in a recent jump out at Caulfield, and the signs were there that he can run a competitive race fresh.
Big Danger: Gracious Prospect has been very good in two runs this time in, winning first up on Cranbourne Cup Day before going to Flemington and running a game third to General Groove on Cup Day. He has become very genuine in recent times and can be followed with confidence. He is the one to beat.
Roughie: Hunger (Best Odds: $21.00) resumes here for Mick Price and Craig Newitt. He hasn’t been seen since October 2013, but was brought up to fitness with a really slick trial win at Cranbourne last week, winning by a handsome margin and running good time. Best form is over further, but the trial win tells me he can run a cracker fresh.

 

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Race Four (14:10) : Magic Millions 3YO Classic 1100m: Form Guide

Back Me: For a $100,000 race, this is a disgraceful field outside one horse in Reigning Meteot (Best Odds: $3.20). The rest of them wouldn’t threaten at the midweeks if Reigning Meteor doesn’t salute, then they will gain entry into a $1 Million race in January…please. Anyway, we need a winner, and I am thinking it is Reigning Meteor. He has been excellent in two runs back from a little freshen up. He stormed home to win at Ararat before going to Cup Day at Flemington and running an absolute beauty when fourth to Risen From Doubt. Provided he holds his form, he is clearly the best bet on the program, and perhaps across Australia this weekend.
Big Danger: Lock And Load (Best Odds: $15.00) trialled really nicely before resuming with a close up third at Bairnsdale before going to Bendigo Cup Day and breaking his maiden status impressively. The long Ballarat straight looks ideal for him, he is third up and the stable are having a good run, as they always do during the warmer months.
Roughie: Wild Rain (Best Odds: $9.00) has had the one run, back in June at Sportingbet Park when seventh to Cautious. Form out of that race has been suspect, but this filly looked very sharp in a recent jump out at Flemington, winning under triple wraps. Look for a big run from her here, as is the case with first starter Murt The Flirt, who was a very sharp jump out blackbooker recently at Sportingbet Park. He can be competitive on debut

 

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Race Five (14:45) : Thomas Jewellers Eureka Stockade 1400m: Form Guide

Back Me: I’m really keen on Shaf (Best Odds: $5.50) here. This colt hasn’t been seen since Cox Plate Day where he ran an eye catching fourth to Galaxy Pegasus, making up good ground from the back on a day where that was hard to do. Been kept up to the mark with a lovely jump out at Flemington last Friday and under the set weights scale, he looks beautifully in. Extremely hard to beat.
Big Danger: Devon Princess (Best Odds: $4.60) was very good first up at the Valley behind Face Forward, then led and was dreadful at Caulfield behind Sea Spray before going back to the Valley and running much better when a narrow second to Wawail, who has franked the form by winning a stakes race last Satruday. The key to her is coming from off the speed, so if that scenario eventuates, then she is a threat.
Roughie: Sebrella (Best Odds: $15.00) was a really strong winner on Sale Cup Day, then stepped up to stakes level during Cup Week and was a touch outclassed behind Lord Aspen. Back to her right level now and does get a 2kg weight pull on the boys, so she has to go in as a massive chance provided she has held her condition.

 

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Race Six (15:25) : Magic Millions Clockwise Classic 1000m: Form Guide

Back Me: Been really impressed by the way Prompt Return (Best Odds: $2.00) has gone about in his two career runs, winning on both occasions. On debut he showed good fight to win at Bendigo, then went to the Maribyrnong Plate at Flemington and was a dominant all the way winner. Danny O’Brien is known for working his horses the Sydney way outside of fast work, so that won’t be an excuse, plus this horse did trial well here last month.
Big Danger: Atalanta Miss (Best Odds: $9.00) was crunched in betting on debut at Morphettville Parks and justified the support with a dominant off the pace win. Time wasn’t flash in comparison to other 1000m races on the same program, but she did look quite impressive and is another that trialled sharply here recently running the Sydney way.
Roughie: Carriages (Best Odds: $7.00) comes here for Gai off the back of be pleasing debut third at Randwick to Mine Two and Italy, both of which are above average youngsters, and that form should hold up given Sheer Style came through that same race and then came here and won 12 months ago. Carriages is trained in Sydney, and all of that experience running that way will prove vital.

 

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Race Seven (16:00) : City Of Ballarat Tonks Plate 1200m: Form Guide

Back Me: If you backed Henwood (Best Odds: $8.00) on Cox Plate Day, it was hard to watch, because frankly, he should have bolted in, but he didn’t get any luck when required and savaged the line late when eventually clear to run a narrow second to Eight Bills. He was due to run during Cup Week, but the track was too firm, so he has dodged the tough racing there and comes here with fresh legs, which will be an advantage.
Big Danger: Tildy Lad (Best Odds: $3.60) is an up and coming Adelaide visitor who resumed with a strong second to Nite Rocker at Morphettville. Nite Rocker had pushed Hucklebuck the start prior, and we know what Hucklebuck did at Flemington. He has plenty of upside, down in the weights and although drawn awkwardly, he will prove hard to beat.
Roughie: Mighty Like (Best Odds: $13.00) strung together three together during the Autumn before running third to Ali Vital at Sportingbet Park and being tipped out. Trialled last week at Cranbourne and worked to the strongly late behind Loud And Proud in what was the fastest trial over that distance for that session. Great record first up and has the plum draw.

 

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Race Eight (16:40) : Sportsbet.com.au Ballarat Cup 2200m: Form Guide

Back Me: Spinderbella (Best Odds: $5.50) hasn’t raced since winning on Manikato Stakes night, coming from the back and swooping around the outside to grab victory right on the post. Could have run during Cup week, but trainer Robert Smerdon has instead saved her for this and she has been kept up to the mark with a really nice jump out at Sportingbet Park last week. She bolted in over this track/distance at this corresponding meeting last year, so she will have no issues running it out, and the stable is flying.
Big Danger: Vilanova (Best Odds: $8.50) is a real enigma and near impossible to follow as a punter, but his two Melbourne runs this Spring have been better than what the form guide reads. At Caulfield he simply couldn’t get into the race when midfield to future Group l horse Contributor, then he went to Cup Day and just got too far back when ninth to Atacama. He is up to 2200m now and the last time he was at this distance, he bolted in at Doomben during the Winter Carnival. Knockout hope at odds.
Roughie: Hvasstan (Best Odds: $21.00) worked home very strongly from the back at Flemington two weeks back when fourth to Held Hostage, making up a stack of ground from the back. His form has been quite mixed this campaign. One run he can be so good, the next he is horrendous, so it’s hard to know which horse will turn up, but if the right one does, he will be hard to beat.

 

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Race Nine (17:20) : Isuzu Handicap 1600m: Form Guide

Back Me: Fulgur (Best Odds: $10.00) comes back to racing off a two month freshen up. He last ran at the Valley when fourth to St Jean, a quality animal who was talked up as a Caulfield Cup chance, so I think that’s pretty good last start form. Fulgur hasn’t had a public trial, but did look sharp in a recent Flemington jump out to suggest he can improve big time on his ordinary first up record (6: 0-1-1).
Big Danger: Eximius (Best Odds: $3.60) has been up longer than Ron Jeremy, and like the great man, he still knows how to perform deep into a prep. He ran in the final race on Cup Week and stormed home from the back to run a close fourth to Eclair Big Bang. There doesn’t seem to be much speed here, so don’t be surprised to see Regan Bayliss roll forward and take some beating, especially with the claim.
Roughie: Sadaqa (Best Odds: $5.00) had a charmed run off the speed at Flemington on Oaks Day, got the gap, burst through and showed good courage to fend off his rivals to win. He showed similar fight in the start prior on Geelong Cup Day, so he doesn’t mind getting down and dirty when it matters, and he is the lone on speed runner.

 

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Race Ten (17:55) : Redbank Handicap (70) 1600m: Form Guide

Back Me: Despite taking on the older horses, I’m really keen on Tashbeeh (Best Odds: $4.20). On face value, he was disappointing two back on Sale Cup Day when third, but he bounced back with a really eye catching third at Stakes level on Oaks Day to Petrology, who came out and spanked his Sandown Guineas rivals last weekend, so that form reads quite well, and this horse just looks beautifully suited. Extremely hard to hold out.
Big Danger: Miss Maggibeel (Best Odds: $4.40) looked the winner despite covering ground on Oaks Day, but was swamped late by Allelu, who came from well back and bloused her on the peg. I think back to the mile and using the claim is a smart, and she should get a really cheap run from the paint draw.
Roughie: Human League (Best Odds: $8.00) is absolutely flying this time in. Despite that, he has had little luck at his past two. At Morphettville he was back near the inside, which wasn’t the place to be, then went under the lights at the Valley and had absolutely no luck when fourth to Orion, getting badly held up at a vital stage. He is another who should get an economical trip and he will be also very strong late.

 

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BEST BET: Race Four Number 2 Reigning Meteor

NEXT BEST: Race Five Number 3 Shaf

VALUE: Race Three Number 1 Tax Evader

 

Quaddie Tips (Races Seven Through To Ten):

Leg One: 1, 2, 5, 9

Leg Two: 2, 6, 7, 9, 11, 14

Leg Three: 1, 2, 4, 10

Leg Four: 2, 3, 6, 7, 10, 15

$50 Investment= 8.08% of the dividend if successful.

 

We recommend BET365 for all Quadrella punters. BET365 guarantee the best value on all Quadrella’s as they pay out on the best tote, meaning you get the best dividend across VIC, NSW and TATTS on every meeting every day.

All odds are subject to change. Odds listed are correct at the time of the latest update.

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